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Watch Out Middle Florida...(Now Officially Hurricane) Milton Is On The Way!


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3 minutes ago, John Kloehr said:

Time for them to get out. Even tomorrow is time to get out. Wednesday might be too late to get out, won't be able to outrun it.

 

While it will be a 5 (might already be), will likely weaken to a 3 when it hits. Will probably still be a 1 when it gets to the Atlantic side.

 

Will be a 50 mile wide Brillo pad scrubbing the ground, this is a tight tough storm. Don't be anywhere near it. Everyone needs to get on the other side of the wind shear on the north side of it when it rips through.

i totally agree but not sure if they are listening. They are supposed to go somewhere tomorrow but not sure where. I keep telling them to head north for about 4 hours to get out of the danger area but I think I am falling on deaf ears. Maybe I should be more life insurance on them this evening. 

 

TM

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16 minutes ago, Rip Snorter said:

I've often wondered what a J Dam air burst could do as the storm advances over the Gulf - obviously not a science guy, but maybe?

The storm would not notice. An average hurricane releases as much energy every 20 minutes as a 10 megaton nuclear warhead. Both bombs dropped on Japan combined is not even a 1/2 percent of that power.

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5 hours ago, Cypress Sun said:

Winds now up to 180.

Barometric pressure on the first one was 912 millibars. At one point this monster is 901!  :o  If you altimeter goes that low, set it to 26.96. Normal sealevel setting would be 29.92! I don't know if the hurricane hunters are flying into this beast, but best of luck to them, if they are!

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3 minutes ago, Trailrider #896 said:

Barometric pressure on the first one was 912 millibars. At one point this monster is 901!  :o  If you altimeter goes that low, set it to 26.96. Normal sealevel setting would be 29.92! I don't know if the hurricane hunters are flying into this beast, but best of luck to them, if they are!

It hit the 890's before bumping up against the Yucatan peninsula.  I suspect once it clears that it will drop again and reintensify.

 

Yes, the hurricane hunters are flying into and through it.  Those folks are pure adrenaline junkies!

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11 hours ago, Cold Lake Kid, SASS # 51474 said:

As a Canadian, I have never experienced a hurricane, (And don't want to) but I have friends in and around the Orlando/Claremont area as well as on the East coast near Canaveral.

What kind of danger are they in?

 

This is the Saffir-Simpson rating scale for hurricanes.  Scroll to the bottom of the page.  Play the video and watch the scale.  That should give you an idea of what a direct hit will look like.  Now, that is a "stick" structure, not brick as most of the houses in Florida are required to be, but it's still a good representation.

 

Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale (noaa.gov)

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For all those weather junkies out there, Ryan Hall is a meteorologist who has a pretty good YouTube Ryan Hall, Y'all channel and he is doing a Live Cast (just stated at 11:45am) which will run until about 8:00pm tonight and then restart and run tomorrow for the duration of landfall.

 

Looks like Milton is trending a little bit south of Tampa Bay at the moment, but not enough to make a huge difference in the impact.  What it does today is going to really define what happens at landfall.

 

Stay Safe everyone!

 

 

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Looks like the track of Hurricane Milton was drifting a bit more south as of the 5PM EDT update.  Although there will still be a storm surge in Tampa Bay, the winds should be pushing water out of the bay instead of into it.  That is assuming the track continues as currently predicted.

 

The bad news is that folks south of Tampa Bay like Venice Beach and Port Charlotte will take a heavier hit from the storm.

 

Hope everyone has finished preparations and is already headed for higher ground!

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Hurricane Watch Net 20 meter band

 

This is direct link to the Hurricane Watch Net on 20 meters.

They'll switch to 40 meters tonight or if band conditions deteriorate.

The Net is busy right now.

I'm hearing boots on the ground reports.

EDIT TO ADD:

Direct link to the 40 meter band, which should be active at night:

Hurricane Watch Net 40 meter band

Edited by Linn Keller, SASS 27332, BOLD 103
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Live Broadcast on Ryan Hall Y'All has begun for the Land Fall of Hurricane Milton.  He said he was going to be live until the Hurricane is out into the Atlantic.

 

Confirmed Tornado Alerts almost all the way around Lake Okeechobee, with confirmed Tornados On The Ground!  Duck & Cover!

 

Be safe everyone!

 

 

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I've never squared off with a hurricane.

Unfortunately, I've been up close and personal with a tornado.

A friend of mine said it right, rest his wise acre soul:

"Scares me and I'm fearless!"

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Already set for whatever comes our way in the next 12 hours.

Got the Generators prepped should we lose power:

20241009_120017.thumb.jpg.80c42be4919691a6b586e57d9f34b922.jpg

 

Got the RV covered:

20241009_115904.thumb.jpg.e69b95bb53479854faaf918cab46e578.jpg

 

Got the garage doors locked with the safety tabs:

20241009_115658.thumb.jpg.b53a127b4bb5c16763b48b080e6fc116.jpg

 

And put signs everywhere so we don't accidentally open the door while it's still locked:

20241009_115707.thumb.jpg.a1676819b441d1fd0ced11d9c8d9b74e.jpg

 

Along with all the Ryobi items [fan, light, radio] as well as batteries and battery chargers. Also have several units that act as mini power sources for running small appliances along with USB ports for charging our phones as well. All flashlights charged and in the ready.

20241009_121551.thumb.jpg.e7ed3550f9f4f2d9655c978b5878c4d8.jpg

 

Lastly, we have secured outside items that may become flying objects, filled the tub with water as well as filling our two coolers with drinking water [in addition to multiple milk jugs with water] and filled the freezer with bags of ice and frozen water in zip bags.

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8 minutes ago, Calamity Kris said:

Best of luck to you.

 

As do you and Uno, as the weather on the East Coast will get nasty as well.

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59 minutes ago, Father Kit Cool Gun Garth said:

Already set for whatever comes our way in the next 12 hours.

Got the Generators prepped should we lose power:

20241009_120017.thumb.jpg.80c42be4919691a6b586e57d9f34b922.jpg

 

Got the RV covered:

20241009_115904.thumb.jpg.e69b95bb53479854faaf918cab46e578.jpg

 

Got the garage doors locked with the safety tabs:

20241009_115658.thumb.jpg.b53a127b4bb5c16763b48b080e6fc116.jpg

 

And put signs everywhere so we don't accidentally open the door while it's still locked:

20241009_115707.thumb.jpg.a1676819b441d1fd0ced11d9c8d9b74e.jpg

 

Along with all the Ryobi items [fan, light, radio] as well as batteries and battery chargers. Also have several units that act as mini power sources for running small appliances along with USB ports for charging our phones as well. All flashlights charged and in the ready.

20241009_121551.thumb.jpg.e7ed3550f9f4f2d9655c978b5878c4d8.jpg

 

Lastly, we have secured outside items that may become flying objects, filled the tub with water as well as filling our two coolers with drinking water [in addition to multiple milk jugs with water] and filled the freezer with bags of ice and frozen water in zip bags.

Nice job with your preparation! Wishing you and yours the best.

Prayers continue for down there. Stay safe folks. We have friends in North Port, weathering it at a friend's block built house in Coral Gables I think it is,north of Ft. Myers. 

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I have friends in Sebring, cousins in Hernando and a cousin in Orlando! Hope they make it through okay 🙏🙏🙏

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Tornado in Lakewood Park, FL - Near St. Lucie, this was from about an hour ago, but it ain't over until it's over.  Most of the tornado warnings have expired, but there are still a couple in that same area.  The southeast of Florida got absolutely hammered by tornadoes.

 

Landfall of Hurricane Milton is just over two hours away.

 

Prayers Continue...

 

Tornado-StLucie-FL.thumb.JPG.b58fa7eacbb47fc8a58987a1f0b92322.JPG

Edited by Dogmeat Dad, SASS #48563L
'Cause I Don't Spel Two Gud!
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7 hours ago, Calamity Kris said:

Driving home from work yesterday, I saw a convoy of utility trucks from PG&E!!!  We appreciate ALL the help we can get. 

My daughter is in Flat Rock. They got virtually NO damage to the house and buildings, but a section of their driveway is gone and they have tons of mud all over their place.  One problem: the only road to get further inland goes right past their drive way.  They aren't worried about another storm but the service and rescue tucks are destroying the road for about a half mile and further up the hill they have taken a shortcut across a neighbor's yard and are damaging his buildings.  They have promised to repair the road but for now they are more interested in taking care of the people and property that has suffered.

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Well, Holli and I are fine (of course we are still in Maryland :P) but we have no idea about our place in Dunedin.  Because the storm made landfall south of Tampa Bay, the storm surge was in the 6-8' range, similar to the last storm, not the 12-15' they had been calling for.

 

Biggest problem will come from the 11" of rain and the sustained 100mph winds.  A lot of folks are going to find a lot of damage when the sun comes up.

 

Power is out to somewhere north of 3.1 million customers in Florida and that will likely take a while to correct.  No refrigeration, no water, and in a lot of places no sewer as a lot of Florida coastal areas need sewage pumps to move it to higher ground so it can flow to the treatment plants.

 

Going to be a mess for a long time.  Still not as bad as the folks in NC, but this is likely to be real bad.

 

Hope the folks that are still in FL made it through OK.

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Got through it okay. No obvious damage other than some minor fence damage but haven't been on the roof yet. Water came up considerably further than two weeks ago but didn't come in. The power's out but the generator is going so we have lights, fans, refrigerator, freezer and microwave...no ac though.

 

It got pretty interesting last light with a lot of wind, some in the 100mph+ mark and a ton of rain.

 

I only drove about 8 miles, from where we stayed, to get home. A lot of trees/large branches down, debris in the road, traffic lights out or damaged. A bunch of places are flooded, either from storm surge or rain flooding.

 

I got lucky, a bunch of folks south of me didn't. A bunch of people far away from the landfall location didn't either due to flooding and tornado damage. Still two more months until the end of hurricane season.

 

 

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UPDATE: wife and daughter made aound 10 trips to a friend's 2nd floor condo in Bradenton. They were one of the last cars allowed over the bridge yesterday afternoon before it was closed. They went to a Hilton in Orlando for the night and had 2 tornadoes following them. Luckily no problems other than losing power and cell service for awhile. My daughter talked with a neighbor by her house and he said her roof was still on but didn't know if she had any water damage. They are currently driving to Bradenton because St Pete is still closed. This way they will be closer to home when they do open the bridge plus she can assess the damage if any to the condo. I hope everyone else on here is safe and sound. Now I have to clear my mind and go shoot my first set of stages here at Land Run. Thanks for all the prayers and well wishes for them.

 

TM

 

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Got the below email (slightly redacted) from the Management Company for our complex this morning....

 

It took almost 48 hours to get power back to the complex after Helene and I will be surprised if it comes back faster this time as there is a lot of wide spread damage in Florida and there are only a certain number of folks who can to that work and I suspect they were already overburdened from the last storm.  The complex only managed to get one of the two Lift Pumps operational after the last storm.  The Lift Pumps are the pumps that move the raw sewage uphill so it can use the normal gravity system to get to the treatment station.  I suspect salt water infiltration killed the one pump last time (they got power restored to it but it wouldn't startup) so we will see if either of them made it through this time.

 

I have had some experience with "sewage" at my office condos.  The upstairs units were flushing feminine hygiene products that eventually clogged up the main drain from the building.  As the upper floors continued to use their toilets, it backed up into the stack until if found the lowest escape point which was the toilet in our first floor unit.  We came in one Monday Morning to what we decided to call a Poo-cano.  It's a 4 story building and when they were using the top floor unit, it built up a lot of pressure in the pipes.  Excrement rocketed out of our toilet as high as the ceiling in our bathroom, and had flooded about half of our unit.  It happened a second time about 8 weeks later, right after we had completed all the repairs.  That's when they finally figured out what was going on.  No Fun At All!

 

Overall, as long as everyone made it through the storm, everything else can be fixed, replaced, or cried over, but still being alive and well is what matters.  It's going to be a LONG recovery from this One/Two Punch of Helene/Milton, that is for sure.

 

Hang In There!

 

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++


 

ALL Owners and Residents.

 

Hopefully you and your families are all safe from the storm.

 

ABSOLUTELY NO FLUSHING OF TOILETS!!

THE FLUSHING MAY RESULT IN AN OVERFLOW FORCING THE CITY OF DUNEDIN TO MANDATE IMMEDIATE EVACUATION OF THOSE REMAINING

IT IS SEWER WATER IN THE LIFT STATION AND WOULD CREATE AN ENVIRONMENTAL HAZARD.

 

What we know as of  8:00 am.

 

  • DO NOT try to return to your units in the Complex.

 

  • ALL access points coming into Pinellas have JUST BEEN REOPENED.

 

  • Pinellas County Emergency Management has issued a DO NOT TRAVEL order within the county boundary lines.  Power lines are down, along with trees on many roadways, making travel unsafe.  EMERGENCY vehicles only allowed on public roads.

 

  • Presently the Complex is without power.

 

  • BOTH lift pumps are down, those who stayed are asked NOT to use toilets until further notice.

 

  • The City of Dunedin says the water is safe to drink.

 

What we DO NOT know as of 8:00 am

 

  • We do not know if there is damage to the Complex.   Damage assessment will take time.  Please be patient.

 

  • We do not know if the Complex was affected by storm surge or ground surface flooding.

 

  • We do not know when power will be restored.

 

  • We do not know when the lift stations will be back in operation.

 

  • We do not know when the roads will be back open for safe travel.

 

We are gathering credible information for everyone as quickly as possible. Please go to the City of Dunedin government website for additional information and ongoing updates.  

 

BOG/Management

Edited by Dogmeat Dad, SASS #48563L
'Cause I Don't Spel Two Gud!
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Uh Oh...looks like ya'll may not be done.................

 

Two more possibly on the way!

 

https://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/topstories/possible-nadine-storm-ripped-apart-as-hurricane-milton-hit-florida/ar-AA1s2N2L

 

https://www.newsweek.com/hurricane-nadine-tracker-florida-milton-helene-1966571

Edited by Rye Miles #13621
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25 minutes ago, Rye Miles #13621 said:

 

Wind sheer appears to have broken up Nadine. Not currently predicted to reform. 

 

Hurricane Leslie is moving away from the US and currently is not predicted to be a threat.

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17 minutes ago, Sedalia Dave said:

 

Wind sheer appears to have broken up Nadine. Not currently predicted to reform. 

 

Hurricane Leslie is moving away from the US and currently is not predicted to be a threat.

True that’s what it says but one never really knows about Mother Nature 🙄

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35 minutes ago, Calamity Kris said:

Anyone hear from FKCGG?

Not since his last comment yesterday! Hope they’re okay!

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21 hours ago, Calamity Kris said:

Anyone hear from FKCGG?

 

20 hours ago, Rye Miles #13621 said:

Not since his last comment yesterday! Hope they’re okay!

 

Sorry did not get back sooner; however, spent all day yesterday starting the messy cleanup process as you can see from the pics and video.

20241010_115624.thumb.jpg.b9d4de321c7bd570373fa767e5d73f4f.jpg

 

20241010_121042.thumb.jpg.4d17d187dc5fd63f972eab42f643f4c5.jpg

 

20241010_145049.thumb.jpg.93a3ef42fc82e541733b70f1d54a22dd.jpg

 

That's just the front yard which isn't completed and the back yard and pool need cleaned up as well.

Lots of rain soaked the ground and when the wind kicked in at 60mph lots of our smaller trees were leaned over.

Never lost power and no threats of tornados near us. Debris would have been worse had we not had a tree service thin out the large oak trees month's ago.
Thank all of you for checking up on us

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On 10/10/2024 at 3:01 PM, Rye Miles #13621 said:

Okay these have poo pooed so no worries 😌 

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@Father Kit Cool Gun Garth glad to hear you are OK.  So far, we have a school-bus sized pile of palm fronds/yard debris but that's all.   Some co-workers live in Vero.  They didn't fare as well as we did.  I've seen some pictures of the devastation there.  Not good.  One co-worker said they were still pulling bodies out of the rubble down the street from her place.  Prayers up for all effected by this monster.

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